Research findings

The HighFire Risk Project



Citation McRae, R.H.D. (1992). Prediction of Areas Prone to Lightning Ignition. Int. J. Wildland Fire 2(3): 123-130.

Prediction of Areas Prone to Lightning Ignition.

Author(s) McRae, R.H.D.
Abstract A method for handling lightning-caused ignitions as part of a comprehensive fire hazard assessment procedure is presented. The locations at which lightning ignitions tend to occur have always been difficult to predict, and donot correlate with usual environmental factors. The model described here uses geographic information system techniques to remove large-scale trends in elevation. The meso-scale residual can be used to predict sites that are prone to lightning ignitions. The model is compared to historic records of lightning ignitions for the ACT, and is found to work very well. A range of other uses for the technique in fire management are discussed.
Keywords : Lightning ignition; GlS; Hazard; Modelling; Australia.
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