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| General learning outcome: | GENERAL FIRE CONCEPTS: | Specific learning outcome: | The interaction of wind & terrain is a fundamental concept for understanding fire behaviour. | Topic: | Techniques for assessing the probabilities of a fire's persistence, escalation or decay during a work shift. |
Operational Awareness for Advanced Firefighters & Fire Behaviour Analysts
It is essential to understand the options for how a fire’s size class may evolve over the current work shift.
Note that initial suppression on a very large fire may break it up into a series of large and medium fires, but these may merge the next time that FDI goes up.
It is important to only use achievable objectives in an Incident Action Plan, so obtaining valid probabilities from the Planning Section is vital.
Example of a tool for estimating transition probabilities.
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